I just said 1 minute since that is a good baseline for people that do not speed grift or doesnt know much about speed grifting to see.īut just for fun, I just calculated an estimated time spent (note that I do not really speed grift or anything so some of these numbers might be slightly off but they are merely meant to find a nice baseline) Each crafted item is different!" which I think leads people to believe rerolling over and over on the same exact item will give 'better' results.I was a bit generous with the time, hence the "at most". There is even a tip in the loading screen that says "Craft the same item multiple times to try for better results. Typing it out, this sounds like horsesh-t but I think that's one reason why people talk about increasing chances for primal. The general idea is to save bounty bags, save all your upgrade rare mats for one time, then just keep using bags and mats to force-find hundreds of items from kadala and the cube. It might just be a myth but myself and several others I know use this technique and have pretty high primal rates from reforges. The post said that the mechanic will not trigger for the majority of players throughout their entire time playing D3, so it must be a very high number of non-primal items. The post said that there was a mechanic in place for players who have gone a very long time without having a primal item drop. I remember reading a blue post a long time ago when primal items were put in the game. Not sure why, perharps someone can try and dumb it down for me? Hope this helps someone to calculate probability in the future, I sure will use it again!Įdit: Somehow it doesn't work if I wan't to know the chance of getting lets say 5 primals, by changing n. If you want to know the risk of not getting anything, just remove n-, therefore getting this equation: So basically, the chance of getting one primal in 455 rolls are ~63%, the risk of not getting anything is, surprise, ~37%.Used this equation to calculate the proability of getting 1 primal.ġ-(1-1/455)^455 or n-(1-1/ x)^ y, where n is supposedly number of times you get a primal, x is the higher number of chance, 1 to 455 in this case, so 455. Lot's of people saying what the odds are, can't see any actually equations.
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